This is the website of Gwern Branwen. I am most interested in psychology, statistics, and technology; I am best known for my writings on the darknet markets & Bitcoin, blinded self-experiments & Quantified Self analyses, dual n-back & spaced repetition, and modafinil.
For information about my site’s philosophy, method, traffic statistics, and implementation, see the About page; for information about myself, my use of other websites, and contact information, see the Links page; for information about new pages, see the Changelog; to receive updates, news, & reviews, subscribe to the newsletter (archives).
Newest
Popular
Notable
- Why Correlation ≠ Causation
- Embryo selection for intelligence
- When Should I Check The Mail?
- Why Tool AIs Want to Be Agent AIs
- Complexity no Bar to AI
- Making Anime Faces w/Neural Nets
- Death Note script authenticity
- The Existential Risk of Math Errors
- Iodine & Adult IQ meta-analysis
- The Melancholy of Kyon
- In Defense of Wikipedia Inclusionism
- Bitcoin is Worse is Better
- Are Sunk Costs Fallacies?
By topic:
Statistics
- Why Correlation Usually ≠ Causation
- When Does The Mail Come? Decision Analysis
- Predicting Google service closures
- Predicting & Prediction Markets
- Banner Ads Considered Harmful (Here)
- How To Critique Research?
- Judging the 2012 election forecasters
- Candy Japan’s new-box A/B test
- Interactively Resorting Lists
- Google Alerts Over Time
- Expected Maximum of Gaussians
- Everything Is Correlated
- Multi-Stage Selection JS Demo
- Power of Twins: the Milk Experiment
- Genius Revisited: High-IQ School Flaws
- Modeling fiction review rates
- Modeling fiction drop rates
- LW Effective Altruism donations, 2013–2014
- Miscellaneous
Crypto/Bitcoin
AI
CS
- Haskell Summer of Code
- Archiving URLs
- The 3 Grenades
- Surprisingly Turing-Complete
- Archiving GitHub
- Simulation inferences
- Choosing Software
- Elegant Run Length Encoding
- Wikipedia Archive Bot
- WP RSS bot
- Resilient Haskell Software
- Evolutionary Licenses
- SICP Introduction (ch1.1, 1.2, 1.3)
- Internet WiFi improvement
- A/B testing CSS & HTML
Psychology
- Spaced Repetition & Learning
- Dual N-Back FAQ (meta-analysis)
- Embryo selection for intelligence
- Catnip:
- Are Sunk Costs Fallacies?
- Iodine/IQ meta-analysis
- SMPY Bibliography
- Conscientiousness & Online Schools
- Robert Bakewell & Inventing Breeding
- Dog Cloning For Special Forces: Breed All You Can Breed
- Open Questions
- What is the morning-writing effect?
- Cat Psychology & Domestication: Are We Good Owners?
- The Replication Crisis
- Hydrocephalus & IQ
- On Having Enough Socks
QS
Sleep:
Practical
Politics
Philosophy
- Existential Risks & Math Errors
- On Powerful Natural Languages
- Culture is not about Esthetics
- The Narrowing Circle
- One Man's Modus Ponens
- Newton's System of the World & Comets
- Ontological pantheism
- On Disrespect
- Justifications
- Against The Miletians
- An Abortion Dialogue
- Copyright
- Immoral Books
- Isomorphisms
- Moral Sperm Donation
- On Stress
- Zen & the Art of Bicycle Maintenance
Fiction
Prose:
Verse:
Criticism:
Anime
Docs
- Radiance (annotated Scholz novel)
- Metamagical Themas: “Sanity and Survival” (Hofstadter)
- “The Iron Law of Evaluation And Other Metallic Rules” (Rossi)
- John Nash on cryptography & P=NP (1955)
- “Ups & Downs of the Hope Function In a Fruitless Search”
- Wei Dai/Satoshi Nakamoto 2009 Bitcoin emails
- “The Crypto-Currency: Bitcoin & its mysterious inventor”
- “Shiny balls of Mud” (Gibson)
- “Nor the Summers as Golden: Writing Multivolume Works” (Wolfe)
- “Loyal to the Group of Seventeen's Story—The Just Man” (Wolfe)
- “The Sword of Achilles” (Asimov)
- Drugs 2.0: “Your Crack’s in the Post” (Mike Power)
- 2014 Jed McCaleb MtGox interview
- Research Bounties On Documents
Anime docs
- Evangelion sources anthology
- The Notenki Memoirs (Takeda)
- NGE 2.0 Complete Records Collection (CRC)
- “Conscience of the Otaking” (Okada)
- “Gainax translator Michael House interview”
- 1996 Hideaki Anno interview
- 1997 Hideaki Anno interview (French)
- “Talk About RahXephon”
- “Special Talk: Yutaka Izubuchi x Hideaki Anno”
- “Otaku Talk” (Okada, Morikawa etc)
- “Earth in My Window” (Murakami)
- Utena 2011 Boxset Commentary
- “On The Battlefield of ‘Superflat’” (Sawaragi)
- “Ero-Anime: Manga Comes Alive” (Sarrazin)