otaku-predictions

a comprehensive taxonomy of predictions on future Evangelion media (anime, NGE, predictions)
created: 03 Mar 2011; modified: 08 Mar 2017; status: in progress; confidence: log; importance: 1

Justification/preface

background on difficult predictions: original

argument for utility (see also Prediction markets): original

Evas

Eva 01

Eva 02

Eva 05

Eva 05 was Tunniel 45% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3694

Eva 06

Eva 06 is Adam original original original 35% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3695

Eva 07

Eva 08

MP Evas

The MP Evas will appear in 3.0 or 4.0 70% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3681

Characters

Keel

Lorenz Keel is the Pope original 1% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3342

Touji

Screentime:

Plot:

Mari

Backstory

Mari is the daughter of Asuka & Shinji from an original EoE-verse original 3% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3673

Mari’s goals and alignment are murky (perhaps because even Khara has no idea what she’s supposed to do, per the CRC):

Ontological status

There certainly has been a lot of speculation on what Mari is:

Plot

In 3.0, Mari will attend school as a regular student original 35% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3661

At some point in the last 2 movies Mari will say anta baka? 45% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3659

At some point in the last 2 movies Mari will appear in EoE-style eye/arm bandages 50% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3660

Mari marked for death by SEELE at some point original 50% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3658

Mari will not survive past the 50 minute mark in 3.0 original 20% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3657

a Mari x Shinji ending original 5% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3656

Shinji

Shinji is a full Angel a la Re-Take (not a human-angel hybrid) original 15% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3654

Shinji will kill Gendo original 20% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3655

Shinji will die, permanently, and not transcend or continue to exist in some sense original 25% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3702

Asuka

Asuka will pilot an Eva against the MP Evas in 3.0 or 4.0, contingent on MP Evas appearing 75% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3653

Ontological status

Current biology:

Backstory

Conception/biology:

Plot

Asuka will be employed by SEELE against NERV or Shinji 30% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3649

Asuka vs. Shinji death-fight original 25% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3648

3.0 Asuka will pilot Eva unit-06; it will go to Terminal Dogma and Asuka will beg Shinji to kill her original 15% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2637

Asuka Shikinami is a clone of another Asuka and Shikinami is then disposed of original 20% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3647

3.0 Asuka has no recollection of anything and will call herself Asuka Langley Soryu original 15% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3646

Asuka will appear little after 2.0 and have an unimportant off-screen death original 10% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3645

Asuka will have more screentime in 3.0 than in 2.0 (as measured by length in seconds of scenes involving her) 40% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3642

Asuka’s surname’s change to Shikinami will receive no in-universe explanation 35% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3640 Asuka’s surname’s change to Shikinami will receive an in-universe explanation and will pertain to Second Impact/the four FARs in Misato’s 2.0 flashback 50% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3641

In 3.0, Asuka will have been promoted 50% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3638 In 3.0, Asuka will have been promoted to major original 40% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3639

In 3.0, Asuka will not remember the Matsushiro incident of 2.0 original 30% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3637

The Key of Nebuchadnezzar will be implanted into Asuka 20% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3635 The Key of Nebuchadnezzar will be implanted into Asuka, under her eye-patch original 18% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3636

Any Instrumentality/Third Impact in 3.0 or 4.0 will focus on Asuka rather than Shinji (as measured by seconds of screentime) original 25% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3634

Asuka & Shinji will kiss original 70% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3632 Asuka & Shinji will kiss and the kiss will be initiated by Shinji (rather than Asuka as in NGE TV) original original 45% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3633

Contingent upon there being a strangulation scene similar to EoE, Asuka will strangle Shinji original 30% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3631

Asuka x Shinji ending original 70% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3630

Rei

Plot

Giant naked Rei will rise again from the LCL sea during Instrumentality/Third Impact 50% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3629

Rei will destroy the other Rei clones original 25% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3628

What will come of Rei, merged with Shinji at the end of 2.0?

A Rei x Shinji ending original 20% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3622

Kaji

Plot

Sadly for Kaji, the most interesting questions are:

  1. When will he die?

  2. Who will kill or be killed?

Gendo

Plot

The Key of Nebuchadnezzar will be implanted into Gendo 60% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3595 The Key of Nebuchadnezzar will be implanted into Gendo, in his hand 55% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3596

Gendo’s travels (3.0 preview indicates they are abroad):

Gendo will, in person, physically attack Shinji in 3.0 original 50% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3593

Gendo’s ultimate goal in 4.0 will not be to reunite with Yui, but to turn her into a god-like entity original 4% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3592

Yui will separate from Eva-01 and be physically human at some point original 15% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3591

Gendo will die protecting Shinji in some sense original 30% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3590

Kaworu

Backstory

Origin; Rei came from Yui & Lilith, yes, but Kaworu?

Plot

Kaworu will be renamed 35% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3588 Kaworu will be renamed to Kaworu Nagisanami original 25% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3589

Kaworu will again be faced with a choice between committing suicide or killing humanity original 70% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3586 Kaworu will again be faced with a choice between committing suicide or killing humanity and will not choose suicide original 30% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3587

Kaworu will kill a kitten original 35% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3585

Kaworu will kill an Angel original 60% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3584

Ritsuko

How will Ritsuko Akagi die?

Fuyutsuki

Kozo Fuyutsuki dies (before Third Impact/Instrumentality) original 30% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3574

General

Mediums will include live-action like EoE:

A version of the song Komm, süsser Tod will be used in Rebuild: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5809

The fourth wall will be broken by:

Plot

How will 3.0 open?

There will be no Third Impact original original 40% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3572

In 4.0, there will be an epilogue set years later original 35% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3571

Arael attacks the sequestered NERV personnel with a wide beam, providing for a mindfuckery exposition scene featuring the other adults finally. original 5% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3570

The entity in Terminal Dogma is still Lilith (of NGE TV) in some sense original 95% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3569

The 4 pilots (Shinji, Asuka, Mari, Rei) each have a piece of Adam’s soul in addition to their own, with Kaworu having the main piece original 25% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3566

The Key of Nebuchadnezzar:

The coffins on the moon each contain or contained an Angel. 95% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3563

The Final Angel is EoE-Shogoki (and not Kaworu) original 5% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3565

The First Ancestral Race will be mentioned by name in Rebuild. 50% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3318

The First Ancestral Race will reveal themselves and will come to Earth personally in 3.0 to punish Rei-Shinji/Shogoki for trespassing into their domain of power. original 10% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3317

The four Children mentioned in the 3.0 preview turn out to be: Shinji, Mari, Kaworu and Asuka original 80% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3316

3.0 & 4.0 will deconstruct Shinji’s heroism and reveal it to be a sham a la Norman Spinrad’s The Iron Dream original 20% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3315

By the end of 4.0, the Earth’s oceans will be blue (and full of life) and not red & lifeless original original 35% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3314

4.0 will end on or near a blue wave shot to parallel the red wave shot that opened 1.0, and ended EoE original 15% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3313

Shinji will masturbate to Asuka at some point during Rebuild 10% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3285

What is Rebuild anyway?

Rebuild is a parallel universe:

Rebuild is a sequel:

  1. Rebuild is a sequel to a previous NGE work 2% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3307
  2. Rebuild is a sequel to itself (time-loop) 10% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3310

Rebuild is a dream:

  1. a dream in EoE

  2. a dream in NGE TV

Manga

Ending:

Real world

Businesses

Work details

Length

3.0 will not be longer than 60 minutes 15% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3290 4.0 will not be longer than 60 minutes 20% http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3291 Neither 3.0 nor 4.0 will be longer than 60 minutes http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3292

Titles

Release dates

NGE TV will be released on Bluray:

EoE will be released on Bluray

Movies

Manga

Live action

Dramatis personae