_Methods of Rationality_ predictions

Recording fan speculation for retrospectives
topics: transhumanism, predictions
created: 25 Mar 2012; modified: 7 Mar 2014; status: in progress; confidence: likely; importance: 1


Sources for predictions: , , & . For background on making predictions, see .

Publication

Awards

Hugo:

Completion

Out of universe:

In universe, complete during Harry’s:

Reviews:

2012

Eliezer will publish:

ch 78

Plot

Chapters

ch 21

The unheard prophecy by Sybil Trelawney refers to:

ch 45

The hint is about…

ch 81

Harry’s solution will be…

ch 85

by ch85:

ch 89

ch 90

Magic

Objects

The purpose of the golden wibblers device in Dumbledore’s office will

Horcruxes

Stone

The Philosopher’s Stone…

Hallows

Deathly Hallows:

Diary

Bacon’s diary is

Map

The constant glitch in the Marauder’s Map is

The intermittent glitch in the Marauder’s Map is

Creatures

Dementors

at least one character whose Animagus form is another human

Events

Past

Lily Potter did not give Petunia a magic potion, but .

, at least initially, Imperiused into becoming a Death Eater

Prophecy & Attack

Voldemort:

Longbottom and not Harry

The Prophecy is about

Dumbledore deliberately of the Prophecy

The Prophecy as transmitted to Voldemort was

Rita Skeeter hoaxing

Who did it?

Hermione frame

was conducted by

Future

Characters

Dumbledore, Quirrel, Voldemort, Santa Claus, and Mr. Hat and Cloak are .

Romance

Harry romance:

Draco romance:

Harry

Harry is…

Harry’s to some unrevealed secret (and not just a Time-turner excuse)

Future breakthroughs:

Harry will:

Harry will become an Animagus who turns into

Hermione

conditional on humans being transformable into house elves, will be so transformed

Quirrel

will:

is…

and plans to manipulate Harry (already a Horcrux) into so neither can ever die

that Harry’s stone is the Resurrection Stone

zombie-mode is about

(the original)

Dumbledore

The rock he gave Harry is or contains a real:

Voldemort

except the Pioneer probe will be destroyed, and Voldemort is doomed to wander the cosmos forever

Harry is a Horcrux and

or is contained within it

Voldemort at some point

The Malfoys

Draco

Lucius

Narcissa

“Cloak & Hat”

is…

has Obliviated

Peter Pettigrew

Bellatrix Black

Sirius Black

is

Gilderoy Lockhart

will be…

Severus Snape

Sybil Trelawney

~ the unspoken ch63 prophecy within earshot of Harry~