‘Methods of Rationality’ predictions

Recording fan speculation for retrospectives
transhumanism, predictions
2012-03-252014-03-07 in progress certainty: likely importance: 1


Sources for pre­dic­tions: Pre­dic­tion­Book.­com, Less­Wrong, & TvTropes. For back­ground on mak­ing pre­dic­tions, see .

Publication

Awards

Hugo:

Completion

Out of uni­verse:

In uni­verse, com­plete dur­ing Har­ry’s:

Re­views:

2012

Eliezer will pub­lish:

ch 78

Chap­ter 78 will be pub­lished by Feb­ru­ary 2012

Plot

Chapters

ch 21

The un­heard prophecy by Sybil Trelawney refers to:

ch 45

The hint is about…

ch 81

Har­ry’s so­lu­tion will be…

ch 85

by ch85:

ch 89

ch 90

Magic

Objects

Azk­a­ban Is­land is the last rem­nant of At­lantis

The pur­pose of the golden wib­blers de­vice in Dum­b­le­dore’s office will be re­vealed be­fore 2017

Horcruxes

Stone

The Philoso­pher’s Stone…

Hallows

Deathly Hal­lows:

Diary

Ba­con’s di­ary is

Map

The con­stant glitch in the Ma­raud­er’s Map is

The in­ter­mit­tent glitch in the Ma­raud­er’s Map is

Creatures

De­men­tors

There will be at least one char­ac­ter whose An­i­ma­gus form is an­other hu­man

Events

The Peverell tomb­stone motto will be al­luded to

Past

The orig­i­nal Quir­rel was Volde­mor­t’s mas­ter or teacher.

Lily Pot­ter did not give Petu­nia a magic po­tion, but ac­tu­ally Im­perius’ed her.

Lu­cius Mal­foy was, at least ini­tial­ly, Im­periused into be­com­ing a Death Eater

Prophecy & Attack

Volde­mort:

The Prophecy ac­tu­ally re­ferred to Neville Long­bot­tom and not Harry

The Prophecy is about Harry op­pos­ing Death, not Volde­mort

Dum­b­le­dore de­lib­er­ately arranged for Volde­mort to learn of the Prophecy

The Prophecy as trans­mit­ted to Volde­mort was faked, mod­i­fied, al­tered, or in­com­plete

“The phrase “the very stars in heaven” in the prophecy refers to the Black fam­i­ly"

Rita Skeeter hoaxing

Who did it?

Hermione frame

was con­ducted by

Future

Characters

Dum­b­le­dore, Quir­rel, Volde­mort, Santa Claus, and Mr. Hat and Cloak are all the same per­son.

Romance

Harry ro­mance:

Draco ro­mance:

Harry

Harry is…

Har­ry’s dis­turbed sleep is a clue to some un­re­vealed se­cret (and not just a Time-turner ex­cuse)

Fu­ture break­throughs:

Harry will:

Harry will be­come an An­i­ma­gus who turns into

Hermione

con­di­tional on hu­mans be­ing trans­formable into house elves, will be so trans­formed be­fore chap­ter 85

Quirrel

will:

is…

and plans to ma­nip­u­late Harry (al­ready a Hor­crux) into mak­ing a Har­ry-Hor­crux of Quir­rel so nei­ther can ever die

be­lieves that Har­ry’s stone is the Res­ur­rec­tion Stone

zom­bie-mode is about spend­ing time at the Pi­o­neer probe per­spec­tive

(the orig­i­nal) killed his par­ents

Dumbledore

The rock he gave Harry is or con­tains a re­al:

Voldemort

All Volde­mor­t’s hor­cruxes ex­cept the Pi­o­neer probe will be de­stroyed, and Volde­mort is doomed to wan­der the cos­mos for­ever

Harry is a Hor­crux and Volde­mort knows this

Volde­mort is Quir­rel’s wand or is con­tained within it

Volde­mort at some point was a dis­em­bod­ied spirit

The Malfoys

Draco

Lucius

Narcissa

is dead

“Cloak & Hat”

is…

has Oblivi­ated Blaise Zabini’s mother

Peter Pettigrew

is dead

Bellatrix Black

Sirius Black

is not in Azk­a­ban

Gilderoy Lockhart

will be…

Severus Snape

Sybil Trelawney

~will proph­esy the un­spo­ken ch63 prophecy within earshot of Harry~