9 users here now
Unfortunately Sheep Marketplace has been disbanded. The creator of the site has taken all of the bitcoins stored in the account wallets. Feel free to discuss anything related to the fallout, including vendor contact information.
Come for the cats, stay for the empathy.
and start exploring.
I am betting ฿2 that Sheep will close within a year. (self.SheepMarketplace)
submitted 6 years ago by gwern
See http://www.reddit.com/r/SilkRoad/comments/1pko9y/the_bet_bmr_and_sheep_to_die_in_a_year/
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[–]sightl3ssSmoke meth, hail Satan 4 points5 points6 points 6 years ago (0 children)
Cool.
[–][deleted] 1 point2 points3 points 6 years ago (1 child)
point spread?
[–]gwern[S] -1 points0 points1 point 6 years ago (0 children)
No. Trying to keep things relatively simple. The bets are as listed, take'em or leave'em.
[–]reddingsanon 0 points1 point2 points 6 years ago (2 children)
At a time of heavy-handed paranoia, do we really need something like this?
Granted, this seems kinda fun in a way, but right now I would not start another scare.
[–]gwern[S] 5 points6 points7 points 6 years ago (1 child)
Yes. Because people are not paranoid enough. They aren't even using PGP regularly, if the Black Flag leaker is to be believed.
[–]reddingsanon 2 points3 points4 points 6 years ago (0 children)
Actually, damn, you do have a point there. Anyone not using PGP on black market=dumb.
[–][deleted] 6 years ago (1 child)
[deleted]
[–]gwern[S] 0 points1 point2 points 6 years ago (0 children)
No. No one took any of the bets.
On which bet, the 6-month or the 12-month? With the latter, our stated odds are such that we don't have enough bitcoins to stake against ฿2, hence our bet offer is "you risk ฿0.66 against our ฿1".
[–]mister_impossible -1 points0 points1 point 6 years ago (1 child)
I agree, but I'd love to hear your reasons for the wager.
[–]gwern[S] 1 point2 points3 points 6 years ago (0 children)
I lay out my reasoning in detail in the link. (I'm trying to keep all the discussion in one place.)
[–][deleted] -4 points-3 points-2 points 6 years ago (3 children)
this guy is obviously LE and knows exactly when its going to be shut down and is trying to profit off of it. If you can't see that then you have no business owning an internet access portal machine
[–]reaperx2 1 point2 points3 points 6 years ago (1 child)
Gwern is not LEO, he wrote a very detailed report about SR http://gwern.net/Silk%20Road . He even recommends that people use PGP LEO would never do that. Also, check out all the other research he's done there's no way a LEO would have enough time to do all that research and write those reports.
[–][deleted] 1 point2 points3 points 6 years ago (0 children)
i really like that you have a sense of humor
Bravo! That's much better than the theory that I am secretly Nanotube.
π Rendered by PID 4084 on r2-app-0de4eb316f0805156 at 2020-02-16 17:50:30.984347+00:00 running 6de88fa country code: US.
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